A LITTLE DRIZZLE AND SHOWERS. WEEKEND COULD BE SHOWERY AT TIMES. LONG TERM TURN TO COLD WILL LIKELY BE PRECEDED BY A WEATHER EVENT OF EITHER BIG STORM OR JUST RAIN IN THE SOUTH. NOT OVERLY CONCERNED ABOUT SNOW, BUT HIGHER ELEVATIONS COULD SEE SOME, OR A MIX. COOLER AIR WILL TURN COLDER BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK. THEN, WE WAIT AND SEE IF ANYTHING NEW WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED!
A disturbance is riding through the area as we speak and has touched off a few showers through the central part of the state. Thursday should be partly cloudy and temps 55-70 statewide. There may be some areas cracking the lower 70s Friday before clouds increase with some chances for showers. I do not know completely how to read this weekend into Monday. I can say a front will move through, we will start seeing colder temps by Monday. That front will not move out of the Carolinas and will likely have a wave of low pressure form along it. Now, what happens after that is still an enigma, but speed is the name of the game. If the Low Pressure can, it may link with northern energy and phase into a nice storm. The Storm Track would possibly right on top of us and cause quite a deluge. If the energy and low pressure miss each other, rain is still in the offing, but not the deluge, and more likely southern areas. I am just going to throw this in. The type of situation, to me, sounds like what we will have to watch all winter. If the Northern and Southern branches of the jet phase, we get the best chances for heavy precip and snow. If they do not, precip will be possible, especially southern areas, snow more likely, but not as heavy on the northern periphery.. So, in the no phasing possibilities next week, there ****COULD*** be a little potential for mixing in the highest terrain of the area. If phasing occurs, the track will not necessarily be conducive for any winter precipitation ( at least not for the Central Mid Atlantic! PA,NY,OH, and Northern New Englands Interior and highlands, watch out!) but the reinforcing shot of colder air after the storm will definitely get some help, and be accompanied by some cold winds. All in all, next week proves to be the changing of the seasons for a while, as the end of it will bring the colder air, and my confidence is very low for the time being on exact scenarios that will play out! Stay tuned! Accuweather noting the changes are coming here: http://hurricane.accuweather.com/adcbin/public/headlines.asp?iws=3
Temps 55-70 with partly cloudy skies.
Nice temps.. 58-73 possible! Increasing clouds very late for western and southern areas.
Some showers possible. Not looking like a wash out, but still needs to be watched. Highs 55-65.
Rain chances still there, as the front slowly pushes southward. Less chances in the North, and better in the south. Highs 55-65.
Cooler, especially north. Partly cloudy, with still some showers possible south, highs 52-64.
Tuesday into Thursday:
What will become of the southern storm. Southern areas will likely see a chance of rain, northern areas will have to watch for some rains possible. Higher terrain, will have to watch for a bit of a mix? We all may need to get ready for traveling issues if phasing is in the cards. Temps, without phasing, 48-58. With Phasing, I could see warmer temps the day befor the precip, and a raw 40-48 and heavy rain Wednesday!
Colder air will arrive. Highs 44-55 look about right for now.
Wxrisk finally posted their Winter Outlook and cold, and potentially snowy outlook according to him! http://www.wxrisk.com/weblinks/MAPS.htm For us, it looks like cold air is here for December, leaves briefly in January, and then comes back with serious chances for big snows in February! We will see!
All for now!
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