WINTER STORM WILL BE A MIX AND MESS! SNOW LESS> ICE& RAIN MORE
Based on all data now coming in from models and analysis this system will have a lot of mixing with sleet and freezing rain as well as rain. Areas at most risk for significant storm situations would be North and west of a Roanoke to Charlottesville to Dulles to Western Baltimore line. Areas along the immediate piedmont parallel to this line up to I-95 will see some icing and some snow, but there will be a lot of mixing.
The net outcome will be sloppy accumulation that should reach storm warning criteria in the mountains and immediate piedmont with potential warning, but more likely advisory criteria along I95 and to the west.
Changes will likely occur, and they may continue to point to more rain. I will keep you posted.
Mid Atlantic Weather: http://www.midatlanticweather.com
Mid Atlantic Weather Forum: http://www.midatlanticweather.com/bb3
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