So cold arrives, a few snow shots have visited, a few more on the way, but a big storm this week may be a mix to rain, or snow to rain scenario as the NAO is not sticking negative. Another serious COLD shot appears likely to follow the big storm and could be the coldest of the season

Summary: Thanks Wasted cold air! That is my thoughts of the cold that brings no snow. I like cold for winter, but i like snow to be with it and we just cannot get a good storm to form with the colder air in place. So, finally we see a good storm on the horizon, and the pattern changes enough to allow the colder air to retreat! So if we get winter weather, it will likely be a snow or mix to rain scenario! A lot could change in the next several days, but this is not looking classic big snows like it appeared the last couple days. I will hold off on a total cancel, but lower the likelihood to like 40% chance of a big storm.

After this, a cold shot (potentially the coldest of the season) will likely visit from next weekend into early next week.

As far as tonight into tomorrow, it has some potential to surprise a few folks with more than what would appear likely, but pinpointing who and whether or not this will really happen will be really tough to pinpoint.

Thanks to all who continue to post to the Forum (up to 97 members!).

Did You Know? I send this update out semi regularly via email! To get it send and email to I also send a Severe Weather Alert when we need it. To get it I am considering a tropical only list as well.

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