11/05 MD,VA, DC Weather Outlook


THE ROLLER COASTER RIDE OF TEMPS MAY GET STUCK LOWER IN THE VERY LONG TERM! COLD AND WINDY TODAY WITH HIGHS 50s TO LOWER 60s AT BEST! SEASONAL WEEKEND WITH ANOTHER BOUT OF COOLER WEATHER MONDAY AND TUESDAY AND PROBABLY THE FIRST NIGHT OF TRUE SUB FREEZING TEMPS FOR MANY. MID WEEK WARM UP IS FOLLOWED BY MORE COLD AIR TOWARD NEXT WEEKEND! AND THEN..WE MAY SEE SOME STICKING COOLER AIR!

 

Summary:

It is actually very late in the season to get our first look at possible sub freezing temperatures for areas and that will not be until Tuesday morning. I had thought we may see this tomorrow morning, but the colder air that is blowing in today will not stick around. Speaking of breezy, wind gust greater than 40 mph caused me some power issues last night! To get to the longer term trends, we see normal fluctuating temperatures which is really signifying a general changing pattern. We are headed for winter after all, and we may finally get a true feel for this not just in our Tuesday Morning lows, but also in what appears to be a Negative NAO pattern (Negative North Atlantic Oscillation: signifies colder conditions on the east coast, and potential storminess: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/nao_index.html ) and a positive Pacific North American (PNA) pattern (also signifies colder temperatures in the Eastern US: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/pna_index.html ) If these really come to pass, weather could get a little interesting but definitely cooler or colder conditions could set up shop! This is exactly what you see in the NWS thoughts in the 6 – 10 day (http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/ )  and 8- 14 day (  http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/ ) Outlooks!  We will see.

 

Today:

Windy and cool, with highs mainly 50s with a few 60s possible in southern regions. Tonights temps will range from the low 30s (mountains and valleys) to mid 40s (Southeast)

 

Saturday and Sunday:

Temperatures will be about seasonal, 55 Â? 65 with some 70s possible southern areas which will actually be a bit above normal.

 

Monday:

We may see yet another day of falling temperatures, and there will be a pretty big range possible. 50s in the north to 70s in the south. Monday Night may be the first widespread Freeze and Frosts for the Mountains and Piedmont.

 

Long Term:

Tuesday temps will show highs in the 40s north and mountains and 50s south

Wednesday and Thursday will see highs moderate to normal and then another cool down next weekend! Yes, a roller coaster indeed. It will be after that weekend where the cooler temps may actually stick, but that far out could mean I am wrong!. I will say a vigorous looking storm system could affect us in some way that coming week.

 

 All for now!

 

Jimmy Chaplin

http://www.midatlanticweather.com

 

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