SIGNIFICANT SNOWSTORM ON TRACK FOR THIS WEEKEND

SIGNIFICANT SNOWSTORM ON TRACK FOR THIS WEEKEND

What: All models are showing what should become a significant snow storm for the Mid Atlantic Region this weekend.

When: Starting overnight Friday in the southwestern regions and spreading over the northern areas by late afternoon Saturday

How Much: Well, ranges in precip come in between 3-5” for a large area with some higher spots likely seeing 4-8”. It does appear that there will be a sharp cut off on the western edge so the mountains and westward may really miss the heavier snows as well as the immediate piedmont areas of Western Maryland and Northern Virginia. Please note there could be some higher amounts within the jack pot areas as well. A lot to watch!

Where:

I-95 areas and about 30 miles either side of it may be the jackpot areas until you get just south of Richmond where you should pull the rain/snow line back west to western North Carolina.

Southeastern Virginia and the areas east of 30 miles or so east of I-95 should see a mix and the closer to the coast a changeover to rain.

Western and north of areas from Leesburg down to Charlottesville and then Southwestward towards Bristol could see a rapid drop off in snow amounts, but this is too detailed and could change

This will be fine tuned.

Concerns:

1. True model Consensus is not there yet.
2. Amounts will be hard to determine until the models handle some of the phasing of the systems better
3. Could see a further north and west pull of warm air if the system gets stronger, thus putting I-95 corridor in jeopardy of a changeover
4. There is also the possibility the storm stays further South and East which would limit Northern and Western area snows.. As noted, there could be a sharp cut off in snow to the west.

All for now!

Jimmy

http://www.midatlanticweather.com