"Because there is always a 100% chance of weather!"
I know many would like an update. Right now this is a route 15 and west threat up into maryland. Sleet and some snow possible. Enough ice for a winter storm warning. The key problem spots will be the elevated surfaces. Route 15 north and west from charlottesville. Snow and sleet the closer you are…
depending upon where you live, your could have a winter storm warning( in the far western counties) to a winter weather adivsory ( for the central counties) for wintry mix and iceing conditions, this is an ever changing event, plz stay tuned, ill be updating as the day and night goes on. ***Luke***
looks like overrunning rain for the midweek to the end of the week. a stationary front will set up just south of us, and waves of low pressure will ride along the front. at this time it looks like rain. by the time next weekend comes around, we could have a storm coming up from…
Read More “over running rain, then maybe something wintry next weekend” »
This week will not be entirely cut and dry when it comes to precipitation types. The reason, the cold air that may be able to seep further south than what the models currently are showing. If this occurs, some days could feature a mix of rain and snow in the northern regions. I am not…
Read More “Some challenges, but a cool rainy week looks likely after a balmy day of 60s Monday!!” »
well we have a few chnces at something( rain or snow).. coming up. first: dec 16th – 18th: this looks to be more of an overrunning event, waves will track west to east along a front that SHOULD be south of us, with isentropic lift ahead of waves if we are cold enough we get…
looking like temps will remain near or slightly above normal for the next 5 days, maybe some rain at the end of the peiod, no snow or ice storms on the horizon at least for the next 5-7 days, stay tuned… Luke
The good news at this point is that I did not over hype the chance of snow or winter weather too much on my Snow and winter weather forecast. The issue is that it will not do to much at all and what we see will not be likely to accumulate, at least in teh…
Read More “RAIN is the headline with a little mix to make things interesting at the end” »
FIRST I want to say that there is going to be a lot of rain the next couple of days. In order of 2 to 4" if things pan out the way they may. SECOND it will be very warm tomorrow and could include some thunder. THIRD a front will swing through and how far…
Read More “Complicated! Rainy, some ice,.. likely little bit of snow” »
, i wanted to explain the difficulty in forecasting with the models. you see, you cant just look at the models and make a forecast. some models have a bias to them for example… the GFS has a cold bias. the ECMWF( euro) has a warm bias., so you have to factor that in… also…..
heres a excerpt from the NOAA NWS STERLING SITE IN BALTIMORE WASHINGTON AREA…..""Then the models get even more interesting…this mornings 12z European model (ecmwf) /as well as yesterday evenings 00z European model (ecmwf)/ develops a coastal low sweeping up the southeast coast into the middle Atlantic by 12z Friday. 12z GFS ensembles depict a similar…