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Latest Statements have cancelled Tsunami Watches for Hawaii ...

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All good points! Why a "Snowstorm" is not "Likely" - Could see some snow though .. but do not expect a significant system unless this changes! ...

Keeping it short and simple! The Teleconnections outlook. Some talk is going around for the potential of snow sometime next week. Let's just put the parking breaks on those rumors now. I am not saying it's not going to snow or it is but the teleconnection department can help on determining the possibilities. 1.Right now we have a +AO and we would want a -AO (Arctic Oscillation). That is our reinforcement of cold air. We can still get cold but most storms would mix especially this time of year. 2. We do have slight -NAO but possibly going positive after the 16th. (North Atlantic Oscillation) The negative phases produce a weaker jet across the higher latitudes of Canada and the North Pacific This allows the storm track and the cold arctic temperatures to drop southward across the central and eastern United States. The higher pressures over the Arctic and Greenland areas also serve as a block in the atmosphere at the higher latitudes. This high latitude blocking also prevents cold air masses from quickly exiting the central and eastern United States. 3.Right now we have a -PNA (Pacific North American) and you can still get storms if we have a -NAO to go with it. Usually fast storms that mix and cut a lot of times. +PNA helps set a trough in the jet stream for the east while the -PNA usually puts a ridge in the jet stream for the east. So basically the weather pattern is not the most favorable at this moment for a big snow event but more than likely something small with the potential for mixing. (If a storm comes) The weather changes everyday and the models change too. Remember forecast are not made from models, instead they are teaching tools to help base a forecast from. What you see from a model doesn't mean what you're going to get. One thing is for sure, cold air arrives tomorrow!

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The cold is not going to relent much the next 15 days. Will it snow.. PROBABLY in some areas.. but I am not seeing a big storm, and the set up is not showing me any way to pin it down clearly. There could be some mixing Sunday Night. Things SEEM to point to a wintery system sometime towards the end of next week. Again, I am not certain it will all be snow and I would say less favorable set up for the coastal areas! But with the cold close by, a system that does line up right could tap into the cold. We will have to watch! ...

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Anyone see any flakes out there this morning? Heard of some sprinkles and flurries for some! ...

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