CURSE WORD ALERT BTW! DT is one of the best long range weather guys I follow. He…

CURSE WORD ALERT BTW! DT is one of the best long range weather guys I follow. He can be rude, crude, and a weather weenie crusher, but amazingly smart. Worth a read. We will see how this all pans out! I do see the big storm next week, I just hope it truly reshuffles the pattern and that the new pattern sticks! The new pattern shows some breakdown on really long model outlooks.


BOOOOOOM BABY ... nothing but BOOOOM

 STARDATE    201412.18     FIRST ..  let me apologize for not updating until just now but things in a little busy behind the scenes here over   the  last few days....  with some new products above

This is where that storm that looked like it may be snow for us ended up.

This is where that storm that looked like it may be snow for us ended up.


Timeline Photos
It has been almost a month for most locations since the last decent rainfall. A widespread rainfall event is expected late Sunday through early Monday as an area of low pressure tracks form the Gulf of Mexico across the local area along a stalled frontal boundary. Widespread rainfall amounts of 1-3 inches are possible Sunday through early Wednesday with an unsettled weather pattern in place. Conditions will turn cooler and drier for Christmas Eve and Christmas Day!

Loved this storm! !!

Loved this storm! !!


December 19th 2009 Snow Storm Anniversary « Just In Weather
www.justinweather.com
It has been 5 years since out blockbuster winter of 2009-2010 that resulted in a record seasonal snow total of 77 inches. That started on December 18th and 19th with the first of three blizzards the brought the top snowstorm for the month in Baltimore history with a total of 18 inches. Winds did ve…

Not encouraged any longer at the long range. Advertised changes in the patterns…

Not encouraged any longer at the long range. Advertised changes in the patterns keep getting pushed back and that is discouraging to this powder hound. The real issue is the Pacific jet being so strong. This is causing havoc on models and so I have to reign in my long term forecasting as it is proving to be wrong. Will try and update again tomorrow on what models show in 5he long term, but they are not doing a good job.

I was in the same boat!

I was in the same boat!


Timeline Photos
The system that was supposed to bring rain to the Southeast and had a chance to put down some mountain snow has really weakened lately...so this is a pretty big bust in my opinion. I won't get into model blaming--I take my lumps for getting too ahead of myself on even the chances. It will remain squashed to the south, much lighter amounts too, and probably won't reach TN, NC line, with rain amounts tapering off rapidly once it gets east of the Mississippi River on Friday night into Saturday. Deep South will remain the wettest for a while. Next up is a soaking wet Monday as it appears now in all the Southeast, with the Christmas Eve storm right on it's heels. The timing of rain will be adjusted in this extremely fast flow. This Christmas Eve storm is the one that sets up a different pattern, but no need to even touch that yet. Image: Rain amounts through Saturday

Wow! Prayers for Patrick Crawford How awful! http://myfox8.com/2014/12/17/texas-…

Wow! Prayers for Patrick Crawford How awful! http://myfox8.com/2014/12/17/texas-meteorologist-shot-multiple-times-outside-of-tv-station/


Texas meteorologist shot multiple times outside of TV station
myfox8.com
EDDY, Texas -- A meteorologist for a Texas television station was shot multiple times in the station parking lot Wednesday morning. Patrick Crawford, a morning show meteorologist for KCEN, exchange...

Mid Atlantic Weather's Facebook Wall 2014-12-17 13:14:00


Timeline Photos
Gravity wave clouds over the area at Noon. @[91515504777:274:WUSA 9] @[204562372900220:274:Meteorologist Erica Grow] @[199990143357477:274:Meteorologist Allyson Rae] @[157306594301935:274:Capital Weather Gang] @[100004288087294:2048:Marty Sharrow] @[1348448392:2048:Chris Laudicina] @[258317154336850:274:Somdwxnews] @[178615142214483:274:TerpWeather] @[356841477719182:274:Northern Virginia Weather] @[345706005569454:274:DMVWeather] @[90520373268:274:Mid Atlantic Weather]

WxSouth sums up all the ifs in his post.

WxSouth sums up all the ifs in his post.


Timeline Photos
NAM and GFS 24 hour totals on this Friday Night-Saturday Night event. It's more supressed on GFS. The amounts on European would be a blend of the two (so far). This is going to be a case where I have to pull out the MesoScale forecast book in the northern Piedmont and foothills of NC, southern Virginia it appears, since everything is very marginal, isothermal profiles, Neutral 850 warm advection and lots of dynamic cooling potential IF the heavy precip rates occur where it's barely cold enough, namely north of Interstate 40, in the mountains of TN, NC and southern third of Virginia. If you live there, you know how these situations can go. Things like how clear are the skies overnight Friday, does the High stay in perfect damming position, when does precip arrive? I dissect a lot of data and meso scale effects that models can't handle when marginal calls like this are so borderline between wet snow, mixed, sleet and just cold rain. Full update after European run at wxsouth. After this, there's lots to follow as well.