Updated 5:00 PM ET – 2/3/2014 for Tuesday/Wednesday Ice Threat


Updated 5:00 PM ET – 2/3/2014 for Tuesday/Wednesday Ice Threats

As models continue to roll in I see a chance that a larger area could see more ice… but as of now, I would bank on the typical Cold Air Damming locations of the Piedmont and valleys right up to the mountains seeing at least ice storm criteria (0.25″ of ice).

Thoughts:

  • The models always miss the extent of Cold Air and how long it will last
  • There is a lot of water with this system, so freezing will be somewhat minimized by the heavy nature of the rain
  • The current watches will be expanded to include areas north of Charlottesville up into Loudoun and Maybe Faquier county VA

Map of thoughts

Thoughts on icing 4/4
Thoughts on icing 4/4
NWS Probabilities on Greater than .25:” of Ice
Probabilities of greater than .25" of Ice HPC

Probabilities of greater than .25″ of Ice HPC