A pretty strong front will cross the region today. This front was responsible for multiple tornadoes yesterday in Alabama and other southern states. Pray for families affected down there! The front will cross the region and bring a period of heavier rains and also quickly warm temperatures! Highs will make it to the upper 50s mountains and north to upper 60s south. There is a chance that some thunderstorms could develop and mix stronger winds to the surface which would result in isolated severe. Also, the added rain and runoff from the snow melt has prompted flood watches.. Make certain water can get away from your home and that your sump pump is working!
HRRR ( a short range model) does show quite the line of heavy showers and likely embedded thunderstorms! See graphic below.
I had mentioned that Southeastern VA and Northeastern North Carolina may see some snow Thursday night into Friday. This remains a possibility as a wave of low pressure develops along the front and cause some precipitation in the colder air! With warm ground temps any accumulations would be on grass, but an inch or MAYBE as much as two seems possible in spots!
Here is the American Model output:
A seasonal set up will follow with drier weather expected through Sunday… then we watch for a storm that MAY be a more significant snow for parts of the region Monday Night. This will also be the lead to a SERIOUS cold outbreak next week! Temps will struggle above freezing for several days next week and the coldest mornings of the season are likely! More details on this later!