Rainy/Breezy/Severe? – #Midatlwx


Today we will see some breezy conditions and warmer temperatures as a warm front has moved north of the area. Due to some upper-level winds and the approach of a cold front there could be some marginally severe storms today and there is a slight risk that a few storms could produce a brief tornado, but winds are the greater threat. I have been impressed with the amount of dry air that has held back the heavier precipitation that was initially forecast, but short-term models do show a batch of heavier rains coming through the area this evening, and parts of the region have received quite a bit of rain. Once the front passes breezy conditions will occur. Some of the higher elevations have been experiencing windy conditions and have had wind advisories as well as high wind warnings in place and these will persist into Thursday. In Southwest Virginia enough rain has fallen to want some localized flooding as well. Once the front clears this evening we will have a dryer and breezy Thursday. Due to the wind direction temperatures should make it to the upper 60s and lower 70s. It will cool down on Friday with highs in the upper 50s to low in mid-sixties and this will also be the weather for Halloween. Increasing cloudiness will occur Halloween Day and showers are possible overnight Saturday into Sunday especially in the northern areas of Virginia and Maryland. Showers might make it in the higher elevations of Virginia right around Trick or Treat time. Showers will be possible starting Sunday and lasting through Monday night. Temperatures will be slightly below normal. Things look dryer starting Tuesday and a warm up still appears to be likely towards the end of next week. All for now.

 

Rain forecast

 

Severe10_28_2015

2% chance of a Tornado

Wind Forecast