40s! How about that for cool! Erika was born – possible East Coast threat – longer term a bit uncertain!

40s tonight and maybe 30s in the mountains of West Virginia! Tomorrow will start a warming trend with 70s and low 80s for most area. Then 80s return to the region except the mountains by Thursday.Seasonal temps in the 80s will continue through the weekend with a pretty dry streak. The models have backed off a bit from another warm surge next week as new models are showing a strong low in Eastern Canada funneling somewhat cooler air over us. Things are in flux due to this.

Tropics: Erika has been named in the Caribbean and I believe that the East coast could be at risk for at least a close call next week. Most likely region would be the Carolina Coast. If models change an the warmer air idea resurfaces along the East coast, we should watch the system closer.Of note, this evening she is exploding with convection and strengthening. She would be stronger if all circulation would like up properly, but this has been an issue for her for several days.

Sorry for the delays in posting! I was sick and then had to get caught up on work. I am not completely caught up, but wanted to post! I expect to be back on track the next several days as we watch Erika.

All for now!

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