Today was supposed to be all sunny, but a disturbance is headed into the southern parts of the region and will likely bring a cloudy afternoon and maybe some rain to the south. I could see it eeking out some snow showers in the higher terrain as the upper levels are cold enough. In northern areas that stay sunny, the temps will jump to the mid and upper 40s, in the south, with clouds, 40s will also be the rule!
Tomorrow looks quite mild with highs in the 50s and maybe approaching 60 in the south.
Freezing rain will be possible in valley locations tomorrow night. Rain is the most likely outcome through much of Tuesday with very windy afternoon and colder temperatures through th rest of the week. As of now, I am not seeing another system on the horizon. It is possible that could change for next weekend.
This ended up as I had thought yesterday when I posted about there not being much moisture.
Things will improve after a dreary start saturday. Temperatures will remain at or below normal through next week. Rain looks likely monday night through tuesday. The next chance of precip after that could come next weekend.
Winter storm watch remains. Feel more areas may be under advisory criteria (>4" snow or >.25" of ice) than thought. True winter storm criterea for ice would be southwestern VA and some MD areas near the PA border. Smaller amounts of precip elsewhere will lead to a lower accumulation.
The national weather service has come out with Watches and this looks like a long term icing event starting as snow most areas tomorrow night. The surface cold will mean that the warming taking place aloft will not make it to the surface so Ice will become a dominant type. this will be especially true west of I-95, but MOST areas could see an ice storm before warming.
There are still details to be concerned about. Some models show less precipitation than others. If the less precip pans out, advisory criteria (icing less than .25"would more the likely outcome)
Now, I am thinking that the combination of Ice and Snow will be enough for the storm and we will all need to watch this.
Break down: I-95 and east – Advisory criteria I-95 and West – Winter Storm
Snow 1-4" (more western slopes and near PA border) Ice will be an issue through most of Saturday.
Winter has come back and we could see multiple chances for wintry weather and snow through the end of the month and into next.
As of now, today should feature a period of snow which will dust many areas north of fredericksburg and up into maryland. Areas further north will see 1 to 2 inches with isolated. Inch spots. Add 2 to 3 inches to that for the mountains.
Thursday night and all day friday look bad! Ice storm criteria should be met in the piedmont areas with icing looking bad. Snow may be a factor for northern areas for the first couple of hours but ice is the bigger threat.
The weekend looks tranquil and then more potential winter weather tuesday.
Light Snow will overspread the northern Half of Virginia and Maryland tomorrow. 1 to as much a 3 inches will fall, from Fredericksburg northward with the near 3″ occurring in Maryland. 3-5″ is expected in the higher, western facing, mountains.
Friday could be a very slippery day with widespread icing issues and maybe some accumulating snows. This could include most of the area, especially west of I-95. More northern areas could squeeze out enough snow at the onset to be Winter Storm Warning Criteria for snow (>4″) and then many areas could be under a storm warning for Ice!
Details still coming on the later week storm, but look for snow to overspread the area quickly tomorrow morning and last until evening.
Highs reached the 70's in many places, but will head to colder and stormier times.
Clipper: so far I am unimpressed, but the NWS is concerned that models could be underplaying the slystem. So, in northern VA and MD, there could be some accumulating snow wednesday.
Thursdat through saturday: a variety of winter weather appears to be coming. Snow and ice could be an issue for a lot of areas. This is especially true for the piedmont and mountains. Northern VA and MD, esecially west of i-95 may see the biggest snow of the season and then ice on that! A lot of details are still to come!
Very warm this morning with fallind temperatures. This week is not clear cut, but, I have a lot of information showing thursday through at least saturday could have several rounds of frozen precipitation. Stay tuned.
We are rather calm weather wise this weekend with highs slightly below normal today and slightly above tomorrow. By tomorrow afternoon, rain should overspread the area. Scattered showers will likely turn to snow showers Monday and Monday night in the north and Mountains but that will be after a rather mild start in the 50s and even 60s. A pretty cold week will shape up and it appears a storm may affect us with a variety of winter weather starting Thursday and lasting into Friday. This looks like a Snow to ice set up for amny Northen Virginia and Maryland areas.